By Stefan Bienkowski

If we can tear ourselves away from the utter pantomime of Scottish football at the moment, it’s worth noting that there are actually some games of football taking place this weekend in the Scottish Premiership.

 

As ever, TheTwoPointOne has you covered with our extensive Betbook look at all the stats and data necessary to making an informed decision on where to place your bets and how to curate the perfect accumulator. Let’s take a look at this weekend’s games.

 



 

Dundee – Aberdeen

xG prediction: 1-2  – Away win

 

Aberdeen fans and the club itself will undoubtedly be happy to hear Derek McInnes is sticking around at Pittodrie, however the recent fiasco over his proposed moved to Rangers has distracted fans and critics alike from his teams’ rather abysmal form of late.

 

 

The Dons have picked up just four points from their last fives games and four defeats in their last 10 league games. They also travel to Dens Park, where they’ll face a Dundee side under Neil McCann that boasts the fifth-best home record in the league. It would take some effort for this troubled Aberdeen team to best this challenge.

 

Writer’s prediction: Home win


Hamilton – St Johnstone

xG prediction: 1-1 – Draw

 

If we can pinpoint the downfall of Tommy Wright’s St Johnstone side it is undoubtedly in their away form. When it comes to points won on the road, the Perth side sit tenth in the Premiership and have an average away xG value of 0.98 – only Partick Thistle’s is lower.

 

 

Although Hamilton’s home record hasn’t been much better this season, they had a horrid run of fixtures at New Douglas Park. Hibs, Aberdeen, Motherwell and Rangers all made up four of their last five home games and off the back of an exceptional November they’ll fancy their chances to pick up only their second win in front of their own fans this season.

 

Writer’s prediction: Home win


Hearts – Motherwell

xG prediction: 2-1 – Home win

 

Intriguingly enough, Hearts have a fairly decent average xG at home. Craig Levein’s side boast a figure no less than 1.64, however in reality the Edinburgh team aren’t creating or at least scoring anywhere near that amount of goals.

 

 

Indeed, if we were to take the difference between each team’s average xG at home and the average amount of goals they actually score we’d find that the disparity between theory and reality is pretty start at Tynecastle. Four goals in their last five home games also suggests as much. A well-drilled Motherwell team should match their intent. At least.

 

Writer’s prediction: Draw


Kilmarnock – Partick

xG prediction: 2-1 – Home win

 

Eagle-eyed readers would have noticed in the graph above Kilmarnock are the only team in the Premiership who have a bigger contrast than Hearts. And although Steve Clarke has done a terrific job at Killie, his magic touch hasn’t yet reached as far as the Rugby Park pitch.

 

 

Kilmarnock still have – by far – the worst home record in the Premiership and will be hoping they can turn that around against Partick Thistle. Why? Well, Alan Archibald’s side have the worst away record in the division. Here a very stoppable force will meet a completely stoppable force. Don’t expect fireworks.

 

Writer’s prediction: Draw


Rangers – Ross County

xG prediction: 2-1 – Home win 

 

Rangers are exceptionally complacent at home this season. We all know that. But did you know that they’ve already dropped points to four of the current bottom six in the Premiership this season, and face the fifth on Saturday.

 

 

Two back-to-back wins over Aberdeen will undoubtedly have Graeme Murty’s side feeling slightly more comfortable in their surroundings, but there’s no doubt that this new-look Ross County side under Owen Coyle ought to offer all sorts of bother at Ibrox this weekend. Expect a tight match, with a narrow win for Rangers.

 

Writer’s prediction: Home win


Hibernian – Celtic

xG prediction: 2-3 – Away win

 

Although Neil Lennon’s side have already caused all sorts of problems for the Scottish champions this season, Hibs have looked nothing like the trendy underdogs that they so often characterise on the road.

 

 

The Leith club may boast an away record that remains unbeaten all the way back to March of this year, but they’ve lost three of their opening seven games at Easter Road. Celtic, who have only dropped two points on the road this season, ought to relish what awaits them in Edinburgh.

 

Writer’s prediction: Away win


The breakdown of both sets of tips are below and if you’d like to place a bet on the correct scores, as suggested by the expected goals data, you would gets of up to £807,609 for every £1 placed.

 

Leave a Reply